EU Referendum – Forecast 1st May 2016

This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. It is the equivalent of a sophisticated poll tracker. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave […]


EU Referendum – Forecast 28th April 2016

This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. It is the equivalent of a sophisticated poll tracker. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave […]


Scottish Parliament – Forecast 28th April 2016

This is our first forecast for the Scottish Parliament Election. This is a forward in time forecast, meaning this is what we believe will happen on Thursday 5th May. Party List Vote Seats List Change (2011) Seat Change (2011) SNP 44.5% 70 +0.5% +1 Labour 20.3% 24 -6.0% –13 Conservatives […]


EU Referendum – Forecast 27th April 2016

This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. It is the equivalent of a sophisticated poll tracker. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave […]


EU Referendum – Forecast 26th April 2016

This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 0.04% Most Likely Leave Vote % 43.51% Our […]


EU Referendum – Forecast 21st April 2016

This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 5.41% Most Likely Leave Vote % 44.68% Our […]


EU Referendum – Forecast 19th April 2016

This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 21.44% Most Likely Leave Vote % 47.36% Our […]


EU Referendum – Forecast 17th April 2016

This is our first forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 43.04% Most Likely Leave Vote % 49.80% Our […]


UK 2015 – Final Forecast – 7th May Afternoon

Polling Day – 6 hours to go. The following forecast is based around opinion polling data from surveys undertaken up to the 6th of May 2015. It does not include any data taken on the 7th of May and should not be understood to be giving any indication of how […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 7th May Morning

Polling Day. The following forecast is based around opinion polling data from surveys undertaken up to the 6th of May 2015. It does not include any data taken on the 7th of May and should not be understood to be giving any indication of how electors in the UK have […]