US Election Forecast – 5th November 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 261 277 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “On the Day” basis meaning. It is based entirely on opinion polls and other market data. No actual cast votes are included in the forecast. The forecast may […]


US Election Forecast – 4th November 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 257 281 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Forward Cast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held on the actual election day. Probability Trump Victory 71.1% Probability Harris Victory 27.9% Probability […]


US Election Forecast – 3rd November 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 261 277 https://public.flourish.studio/resources/embed.js This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 63.5% Probability Harris Victory 35.8% Probability Tie 0.7% Probability Trump […]


US Election Forecast – 2nd November 2024 4

Current Forecast Harris Trump 267 271 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 51.6% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 78.0% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]


US Election Forecast – 31st October 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 257 281 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 77.9% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 91.3% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]


US Election Forecast – 29th October 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 257 281 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 72.7% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 87.9% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]


US Election Forecast – 26th October 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 260 278 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 68.6% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 86.8% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]


US Election Forecast – 22nd October 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 255 283 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 77.19% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 91.63% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]


US Election Forecast – 15th October 2024 1

Current Forecast Harris Trump 252 286 This is our latest Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 83.12% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 93.59% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]


US Election Forecast – 16th August 2024

Current Forecast Harris Trump 277 261 This is our first Forecast for the 2024 US General Election. Forecast is calculated on a “Nowcast” basis meaning that it is the result if an election were held today. Probability Trump Victory 21.95% Probability Trump 260+ EC Votes 51.23% Probability Trump 250+ EC […]