Forecast #GE2024 – 11th April 2024   Recently updated !

This is our latest forecast of 2024 for the 2024 General Election in the UK. This forecast is made on the basis of an election taking place on 17 October 2024. An earlier or later election would affect our forecast. Forecasts are made on the basis of new constituency boundaries. […]


Forecast #GE2024 – 4th April 2024   Recently updated !

This is our latest forecast of 2024 for the 2024 General Election in the UK. This forecast is made on the basis of an election taking place on 17 October 2024. An earlier or later election would affect our forecast. Forecasts are made on the basis of new constituency boundaries. […]


Forecast #GE2024 – 26th March 2024

This is our latest forecast of 2024 for the 2024 General Election in the UK. This forecast is made on the basis of an election taking place on 17 October 2024. An earlier or later election would affect our forecast. Forecasts are made on the basis of new constituency boundaries. […]


Forecast #GE2024 – 13th March 2024

This is our latest forecast of 2024 for the 2024 General Election in the UK. This forecast is made on the basis of an election taking place in November 2024. An earlier or later election would affect our forecast. Forecasts are made on the basis of new constituency boundaries. What […]


Forecast #GE2024 – 14th February 2024 4

This is our first forecast of 2024 for the 2024 General Election in the UK. This forecast is made on the basis of an election taking place in November 2024. An earlier or later election would affect our forecast. Forecasts are made on the basis of new constituency boundaries. What […]


Forecast #GE2024 – 19th April 2023 1

This is our first forecast for the 2024 General Election in the UK. This forecast is made on the basis of an election taking place in November 2024. An earlier or later election would affect our forecast. Forecasts are made on the basis of current constituency boundaries. The Boundary Commission […]


Welsh Senedd – Forecast 6th May 2021

This is our final forecast for the Welsh Senedd Election. This is an on the day forecast. Party Const Vote Const Seats List Vote Final Seats Labour 39.5% (+4.8%) 23 (-4) 30.1% (-1.4%) 26 (-3) Conservatives 31.2% (+10.2%) 11 (+5) 25.8% (+7.0%) 18 (+7) Plaid Cymru 20.7% (+1.2%) 6 (n/c) […]


Scottish Parliament – Forecast 6th May 2021

This is our final forecast for the Scottish Parliament Election. This is an on the day forecast and was adjusted at 1130am (slight chage to percentage forecasts but no change to seats). Party Const Vote Const Seats List Vote Final Seats SNP 49.0% (+2.5%) 63 (+4) 37.9% (-4.8%) 64 (+1) […]


Scottish Parliament – Forecast 3rd May 2021 1

This is our latest forecast for the Scottish Parliament Election. This is a forward looking forecast. Party Const Vote Const Seats List Vote Final Seats SNP 46.4% (-0.1%) 60 (+1) 36.0% (-5.7%) 62 (-1) Conservatives 20.4% (-1.6%) 7 (n/c) 21.2% (-1.7%) 27 (-4) Labour 21.0% (-1.6%) 2 (-1) 16.7% (-2.4) 20 […]


US Election Forecast – 3rd November 2020

Current Forecast Biden Trump 349 (nc) 187 (nc) Changes from yesterday This is our latest Forecast. Unless any new polling is released this is our final forecast and includes our central point prediction for each state. On polling day we forecast a decisive win for Biden with a Trump win […]