Yearly Archives: 2020


US Election Nowcast – 28th October 2020

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 340 (-13) 196 (+13) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.01% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.42% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 3.05% Probability Tie 0.01% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 178 – 211 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]


US Election Nowcast – 26th October 2020

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 353 (-12) 183 (+12) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.19% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 1.36% Probability Tie 0.00% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 166 – 197 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]


US Election Nowcast – 24th October 2020

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 365 (-11) 171 (+11) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.11% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 0.30% Probability Tie 0.00% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 160 – 186 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]


US Election Nowcast – 22nd October 2020 2

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 376 (+26) 160 (-26) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.00% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 0.00% Probability Tie 0.00% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 148 – 170 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]


US Election Nowcast – 20th October 2020

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 350 (+6) 188 (-6) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.07% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.87% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 2.43% Probability Tie 0.01% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 170 – 211 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]