This is our first forecast for the Scottish Parliament Election. This is a forward in time forecast, meaning this is what we believe will happen on Thursday 5th May. Party List Vote Seats List Change (2011) Seat Change (2011) SNP 44.5% 70 +0.5% +1 Labour 20.3% 24 -6.0% –13 Conservatives […]
This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. It is the equivalent of a sophisticated poll tracker. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave […]
This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 0.04% Most Likely Leave Vote % 43.51% Our […]
This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 5.41% Most Likely Leave Vote % 44.68% Our […]
This is our latest forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 21.44% Most Likely Leave Vote % 47.36% Our […]
This is our first forecast for the EU Referendum. It is a Point in Time forecast, meaning it is what we forecast would be the result if the referendum was held today. Our Forecast is as follows. Probability of a Leave Vote 43.04% Most Likely Leave Vote % 49.80% Our […]