This forecast has been adjusted to account for the new MORI poll for the Evening Standard. It incorporates the headline figures from this poll and will be adjusted again once the data tables are published. This is an Election Day prediction. This means it is a forecast on the day of […]
This is a Forward Looking prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote will be on the 18th of September. The Forward Looking “centre point” of the prediction is 47.60%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling and other market data. This […]
This is a Forward Looking prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote will be on the 18th of September. The Point in Time “centre point” of the prediction is 48.50%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling and other market […]
This is a Forward Looking prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote will be on the 18th of September. The Point in Time “centre point” of the prediction is 48.36%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling and other market […]
This is a Forward Looking prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote will be on the 18th of September. The Point in Time “centre point” of the prediction is 48.95%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling and other market […]
Please note – this is no longer a point in time forecast but rather now a forward looking forecast for the 18th of September. This is a Forward Looking prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote will be on the 18th of September. The Point in Time “centre […]
Please note – this is no longer a point in time forecast but rather now a forward looking forecast for the 18th of September. This is a Forward Looking prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote will be on the 18th of September. The Point in Time “centre […]
This is a Point in Time prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote would be if the referendum happened today. The Point in Time “centre point” of the prediction is 49.37%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling […]
This is a Point in Time prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote would be if the referendum happened today. The Point in Time “centre point” of the prediction is 49.76%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling […]
This is a Point in Time prediction. This means it is a forecast of what the Yes vote would be if the referendum happened today. The Point in Time “centre point” of the prediction is 49.51%. This is the middle point of the distribution of likely outcomes based upon recent polling […]
