This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. Forecast Our mid point and confidence interval forecast for seats is as follows. Party Seats – Mid Point Seats 50% CI Seats 95% CI Conservatives 310 294 – 324 268 […]
Here’s a table to show how we compared with the major polling firms. The final column shows the absolute difference on the percentage forecasts – the smaller, the better the forecast. Forecast Conservatives UKIP Labour Abs Diff Actual Result 34.81 42.1 16.76 Survation 33 48 16 8.47 Forecast UK 31.9 […]
This is the first of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. Forecast Our mid point and confidence interval forecast for seats is as follows. Party Seats – Mid Point Seats 50% CI Seats 95% CI Conservatives 324 318 – 328 306 […]