UK 2015


Updated EWMA Analysis

We have updated our EWMA analysis on YouGov poll ratings. Key observations are as follows. UKIP has fallen to a new mean and shows early evidence of moving towards the lower bounds of the new range Labour is moving towards the high end of their new range The Liberal Democrats […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 16th March

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. Forecast Our forecast sees a levelling in the Conservative midpoint position, but a clear reduction in their […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 27th February

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. Forecast Our latest forecast sees an improvement in the Conservative party position, with a mid-point prediction similar […]