Current Forecast Biden Trump 355 181 Changes from last Nowcast This is our first Forecast. From today until Polling Day we will publish each day what we think the result will be from voting on Tuesday. With three days to go we forecast a decisive win for Biden with a […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 356 (+16) 180 (-16) Changes from last Nowcast This is our final Nowcast. From tomorrow we will provide a Forecast for what we expect the result to be on Polling Day. Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.02% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 340 (-13) 196 (+13) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.01% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.42% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 3.05% Probability Tie 0.01% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 178 – 211 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 353 (-12) 183 (+12) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.19% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 1.36% Probability Tie 0.00% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 166 – 197 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 365 (-11) 171 (+11) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.11% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 0.30% Probability Tie 0.00% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 160 – 186 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 376 (+26) 160 (-26) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.00% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.00% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 0.00% Probability Tie 0.00% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 148 – 170 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 350 (+6) 188 (-6) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.07% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.87% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 2.43% Probability Tie 0.01% 50% Confidence Interval Trump EC Votes 170 – 211 Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 344 (-6) 194 (+6) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0.02% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.62% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 1.94% Probability Tie 0% Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) 188 – 8.3% likely Trump Median EC Vote (Centre […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 350 (+10) 188 (-10) Changes from last Nowcast Probability Trump Victory 0% Probability Trump 250+ EC Votes 0.15% Probability Trump 240+ EC Votes 0.99% Probability Tie 0% Trump Modal EC Vote (EC Vote value with highest prob) 188 – 8.3% likely Trump Median EC Vote (Centre […]

Current Nowcast Biden Trump 340 (-23) 198 (+23) Changes from last Nowcast Type of State EC Votes Safe Biden 200 Safe Biden – Swing State 75 Strong Biden 50 Weak Biden Tie Weak Trump 11 Strong Trump 73 Safe Trump – Swing State 45 Safe Trump 84 Based on Criteria […]