Forecast #GE2017 – 25th April 2017


This is our first forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK.

The forecast below is based on an election occurring on the day of the forecast using the latest polling data and does not include any adjustment for potential movement before the actual Polling Day.

UK Forecast

Party Forecast
 Conservatives 394 – 397
 Labour 174 – 175
 SNP 45 – 46
Liberal Democrats 10 – 12
Plaid Cymru 2 – 3
Green 1
 Speaker 1
Northern Irish 18

Most likely result – Conservative Majority of 146

This majority assumes 4 Sinn Fein MPs who will not sit in Parliament.

We have specific Welsh and Scottish forecasts as well.

Scotland

Party Forecast
SNP 45 – 46
Conservatives 11
Liberal Democrats 2 – 3

Wales

Party Forecast
Conservatives 27
Labour 9
Plaid Cymru 2 – 3
Liberal Democrats 1

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