5 Days to Go.
This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range of possibilities. We will attempt to update this forecast every day until the 7th of May.
- We see clear movement back towards Labour
- We see evidence that there is a move away from the SNP in Scotland
Changes indicated from Friday’s forecast.
|Labour||34.03% (-0.66%)||287 (+2)|
|Conservatives||33.27% (-1.03%)||267 (-1)|
|UKIP||14.72% (+1.28%)||2 (nc)|
|Liberal Democrats||8.51% (+0.02%)||27 (+2)|
|Green||4.57% (+0.54%)||1 (nc)|
|SNP||3.69% (-0.12%)||43 (-4)|
|PC||0.77% (-0.03%)||4 (+1)|
|Others inc. Speaker (GB)||1 (nc)|
Specific Seat Probabilities
Specific seat probabilities can be added as requested.