6 Days to Go.
This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range of possibilities. We will attempt to update this forecast every day until the 7th of May.
- We see clear movement back towards Labour
- We see evidence that there is a move away from the SNP in Scotland
Changes indicated from Thursday’s forecast.
|Labour||34.69% (+1.39%)||285 (+19)|
|Conservatives||34.30% (-1.28%)||268 (-12)|
|UKIP||13.44% (+1.67%)||2 (nc)|
|Liberal Democrats||8.49% (-0.45%)||25 (+2)|
|Green||4.03% (-0.86%)||1 (nc)|
|SNP||3.81% (-0.53%)||47 (-8)|
|PC||0.80% (+0.08%)||3 (-1)|
|Others inc. Speaker (GB)||1 (nc)|
Specific Seat Probabilities
Specific seat probabilities can be added as requested.