It’s no secret that in the 2017 General Elections the opinion polls missed the final result by a not insignificant margin. A number of different websites used data from opinion polls to try and forecast the outcome of the election and whilst all missed the Hung Parliament, some did better […]
The below is a list of the key seats expected to declare first after polls close tonight. With each of them we have given an indication of what result to expect if our forecast is correct, and what a different result might mean. Houghton and Sunderland Should declare around 11 […]
This is our latest forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK. Updated at 12:15 UK time to include MORI poll. The forecast below is our standard forecast and may change today if more polling data is available. Will your forecast change during the day? – […]
Over the next thirty-six hours we expect a flurry of polls from the main pollsters before voting stations open tomorrow morning for 7am. Here at Forecast UK we will be producing the following: A forecast tomorrow morning based on the overnight polls An updated forecast during the day (if required) […]
This is our latest forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK. Will your forecast change between now and tomorrow? – Very likely. We expect a burst of polling activity over the next 24 hours and we will produce one or more forecasts tomorrow to reflect […]
This is our latest forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK. Will your forecast change between now and Thursday? – Very likely. If a week is a long time in politics, it is an eternity in elections. We will see more opinion polls published between […]
This is our latest forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK. Will your forecast change between now and Thursday? – Very likely. If a week is a long time in politics, it is an eternity in elections. We will see more opinion polls published between […]
This is our latest forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK. Why have you moved to a proper forecast? – From around a week out to the election, the levels of uncertainty around the final result begin to diminish. From today we can project forward […]
This is our latest forecast for the 8th of June 2017 General Election in the UK. This is a true forecast, predicting what the result will be on the 8th of June. All our previous forecasts have been NowCasts, indications of the result if the election had taken place on […]
Chris Hanretty, Reader in Politics at UEA, wrote a piece yesterday on how the “2015 Other” voters (those who in 2015 didn’t vote for any of the main parties – Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democat, UKIP – or didn’t vote at all) are splitting for Labour in recent polls. He looked […]
