8 Days to Go.
This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range of possibilities. We will attempt to update this forecast every day until the 7th of May.
- The surge towards the Conservatives is slowing down
- Evidence continues to come in of a high level of support for the SNP in Scotland
- We now predict three seats for UKIP – Clacton, South Thanet and Thurrock
Changes indicated from Tuesday’s forecast.
|Conservatives||35.03% (-0.09%)||281 (+2)|
|Labour||33.82% (+1.10%)||263 (nc)|
|UKIP||12.56 (+0.38%)||3 (nc)|
|Liberal Democrats||8.32% (-0.54%)||23 (-3)|
|Green||4.70% (-1.23%)||1 (nc)|
|SNP||4.49% (+0.14%)||56 (nc)|
|PC||0.65% (+0.25%)||4 (+1)|
|Others inc. Speaker (GB)||1 (nc)|
Specific Seat Probabilities
Specific seat probabilities can be added as requested.