Rochester and Strood Forecast – 2nd November 2014
This is a point-in-time forecast for the Rochester and Strood by-election. The table below shows the 50% and 95% confidence intervals for each candidate’s vote share. Party Mid Point 50% Intervals 95% Intervals Conservative 30.9 29.4 – 32.4 26.5 – 35.4 UKIP 44.8 42.6 – 47.1 38.3 – 51.4 Labour 18.8 16.3 […]