Last week we examined the movement of support for all the main UK parties since the start of 2015. Since then we now have a complete set of polling data from YouGov for February so we can explore movement during that month. In the analysis below we have built a […]
We have examined the YouGov opinion poll results since the start of 2015 to assess whether any discernible movement in party support can be determined. In the analysis below we have undertaken two pieces of statistical modelling on the opinion poll values for each of the five main UK parties. […]
This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. Why have you not produced a forecast for three weeks? We have been analysing the last month’s […]
This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. Forecast Our mid point and confidence interval forecast for seats is as follows. Party Seats – Mid Point Seats 50% CI Seats 95% CI Conservatives 321 306 – 335 275 […]