Rochester and Strood Forecast – 12th November 2014
This is a point-in-time forecast for the Rochester and Strood by-election. The table below shows the 50% and 95% confidence intervals for each candidate’s vote share. Party Mid Point 50% Intervals 95% Intervals Conservative 31.9 30.3 – 33.4 27.4 – 36.3 UKIP 47.2 44.9 – 49.4 40.7 – 53.7 Labour 15.9 13.4 […]