UK 2015 – Forecast – 26th April

11 Days to Go. This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 25th April

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range […]


Updated EWMA Analysis – 23rd April

We have updated our EWMA analysis. The details are below. There is clear statistical evidence that UKIP have bounced back from their low of early to mid April Although we need one more day’s data to show it on the chart, the Conservatives have moved back up to a new […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 23rd April

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 22nd April

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 21st April 4

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range […]


UK 2015 – Forecast – 20th April 4

This is the latest of our forecasts for the UK General Election in 2015. To see our methodology click here. To read a note on our updated forward looking projection methodology, click here. This is a new forecast format where we will present just the centre point of the range […]


Updated EWMA Analysis – Mid April

We have updated for mid-April our EWMA analysis on YouGov poll ratings. Key observations are as follows. We now include a “Conservative Lead” tracker (negative values indicate Labour lead) Although the Conservative poll ratings moved to a new mean at the start of April, they have now fallen back below […]


Million Pound Show Election Special 1992

Something lighter – Here’s the Million Pound Show Election Special from 1992. http://forecastuk.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/The-Million-Pound-Radio-Show-S05-SP2-Election-Special.mp3 Download We’re looking for other comedy shows from previous elections. Please let us know about others (radio or TV).